Iowa State
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
234  Toby Hardwick SO 32:22
255  Nathan Rodriguez SO 32:25
287  Christian DeLago JR 32:31
335  Brian Llamas SR 32:38
458  Josef Andrews SO 32:54
509  Daniel Nestor SR 33:00
703  Keeghan Hurley SO 33:21
910  John Nownes FR 33:39
National Rank #61 of 308
Midwest Region Rank #7 of 33
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 2.3%
Most Likely Finish 6th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.1%


Regional Champion 0.1%
Top 5 in Regional 22.8%
Top 10 in Regional 98.5%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Toby Hardwick Nathan Rodriguez Christian DeLago Brian Llamas Josef Andrews Daniel Nestor Keeghan Hurley John Nownes
Rim Rock Collegiate Classic 10/03 962 32:37 32:42 32:43 33:03 32:59 33:16 34:01
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/16 842 32:21 32:31 32:19 32:40 32:50 32:41 33:10
Big 12 Championships 10/31 854 31:58 32:21 33:13 32:34 33:16 32:55 33:47 33:08
Midwest Region Championships 11/13 794 32:37 32:07 32:17 32:35 32:28 34:01 33:49





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 2.3% 27.6 650 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.4
Region Championship 100% 6.3 194 0.1 0.7 2.2 5.3 14.5 44.0 17.9 7.9 4.1 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.2



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Toby Hardwick 2.8% 138.0
Nathan Rodriguez 2.4% 150.8
Christian DeLago 2.4% 152.0
Brian Llamas 2.3% 178.5
Josef Andrews 2.3% 200.0
Daniel Nestor 2.3% 210.7
Keeghan Hurley 2.3% 229.3


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Toby Hardwick 27.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.5 2.2 2.7 2.8 3.6 3.7 3.4 3.8 4.0 3.9 4.1 3.4
Nathan Rodriguez 29.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.8 1.4 1.8 2.0 2.4 2.9 3.5 3.3 3.8 4.1 3.8 3.9
Christian DeLago 33.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.8 1.8 2.5 2.4 2.9 3.0 3.5 2.8
Brian Llamas 39.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.5 1.7 1.6 2.1
Josef Andrews 54.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2
Daniel Nestor 59.9 0.0 0.0
Keeghan Hurley 83.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 1
2 0.7% 100.0% 0.7 0.7 2
3 2.2% 39.3% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.4 0.9 3
4 5.3% 9.8% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 4.8 0.5 4
5 14.5% 0.7% 0.0 0.0 0.1 14.4 0.1 5
6 44.0% 44.0 6
7 17.9% 17.9 7
8 7.9% 7.9 8
9 4.1% 4.1 9
10 1.8% 1.8 10
11 1.0% 1.0 11
12 0.4% 0.4 12
13 0.2% 0.2 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
Total 100% 2.3% 0.1 0.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 97.7 0.8 1.5




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Princeton 19.2% 1.0 0.2
Lamar 9.0% 1.0 0.1
Penn State 3.3% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.3
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 2.0